Match stats

Logo Real Madrid Logo Valencia
65 Ball possession (%) 35
21 Goal attempts 10
9 Shots on Goal 2
8 Shots off Goal 5
4 Blocked shots 3

Real Madrid vs Valencia: prediction & betting odds 5 Apr 2025

The Matchday 30 clash in La Liga between Real Madrid and Valencia will take place on April 5 at the Santiago Bernabeu Stadium. Real Madrid vs. Valencia: prediction and betting odds, statistics.

Real Madrid

Carlo Ancelotti's side enters the upcoming match with a three-game winning streak in the league. During this stretch, they defeated Rayo Vallecano and Villarreal with identical 2-1 scorelines and narrowly overcame Leganes at home in the previous round (3-2). The club remains second in the standings, trailing leaders Barcelona by three points. Additionally, they lag significantly behind the Catalans in terms of goals scored in the league (20 goals fewer).


  • Both teams have scored in 6 of Real Madrid's last 7 La Liga games.
  • No more than three goals have been scored in 8 of Madrid's last 9 league matches.
  • The team has opened the scoring in 5 of their last 6 La Liga matches.

Predicted lineup for Real Madrid (4-3-3)

Andriy Lunin – Raul Asensio, Antonio Rudiger, Fran Garcia, Lucas Vazquez – Eduardo Camavinga, Luka Modric, Jude Bellingham – Brahim Diaz, Arda Guler, Kylian Mbappe.


Defenders Ferland Mendy, Eder Militao, and Dani Carvajal, as well as midfielder Dani Ceballos, are sidelined due to injuries. Both goalkeepers Andriy Lunin and Thibaut Courtois may miss the match due to muscle issues.

Valencia

Valencia has been in good form, remaining unbeaten in four consecutive league matches. In this series, they drew away with Osasuna (3-3) and Girona (1-1), and secured home victories against Valladolid (2-1) and Mallorca (1-0). Thanks to their successful performances last month, the club has climbed to 15th place, moving four points clear of the relegation zone.


  • Valencia has suffered only one defeat in their last eight La Liga games (4 wins and 3 draws).
  • No more than three goals have been scored in 7 of the club's last 8 league matches.
  • In their last six away league games, Valencia has drawn five times (1 defeat).

Predicted lineup for Valencia (4-3-3)

Giorgi Mamardashvili – Cesar Tárrega, Jose Luis Gaya, Dimitri Foulquier, Cristhian Mosquera – Javi Guerra, Enzo Barrenechea, Andre Almeida – Diego Lopez, Luis Rioja, Umar Sadiq.


Due to an accumulation of yellow cards, defenders Jose Luis Gaya and Dimitri Foulquier, as well as forward Luis Rioja, are unavailable.

Referee

Guillermo Cuadra Fernandez (Spain)


Matches – 15 (La Liga, 2024/25);

Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 69;

Average yellow cards per match – 4.6;

Red cards shown – 3;

Average fouls per match – 23;

Penalties – 20%.

Match Prediction: Real Madrid vs. Valencia

With nine rounds remaining in La Liga, Madrid must avoid dropping points if they hope to win the championship. They also need Barcelona, who currently leads Real by three points, to slip up. Valencia is not expected to pose a significant challenge for Carlo Ancelotti's side this season. The team is fighting for survival in La Liga and has not won in 17 consecutive away league matches (8 draws and 9 losses).

Additionally, Valencia has struggled against top clubs: in the current La Liga season, they were heavily defeated away by Atletico (0-3) and Barcelona (1-7). Moreover, head-to-head statistics clearly favor the hosts: in the last six meetings at the Santiago Bernabeu, Madrid not only won but did so by at least a two-goal margin.


Therefore, my prediction is Real Madrid with a handicap (-1.5).

Betting tips 5 Apr 2025

Real Madrid remain firmly in the title hunt, sitting just three points behind Barcelona. Their upcoming fixture against Valencia presents a key opportunity to keep the pressure on their direct rivals. However, the visitors have shown improved consistency and could capitalise on the home side’s fatigue following an exhausting Copa del Rey tie.

Real Madrid have won three league matches on the bounce, though defensive vulnerabilities continue to surface. They conceded twice to CD Leganés, and once each against Rayo Vallecano and Villarreal CF. The defensive lapses were particularly exposed in the Copa del Rey, where three of the four goals conceded to Real Sociedad came from individual mistakes by Andriy Lunin and David Alaba. Despite this, their attacking output remains impressive — 62 goals scored, the second-highest tally in the league, with Kylian Mbappé contributing 22. In the reverse fixture earlier in the season, Real Madrid narrowly defeated Valencia with a late goal (2:1).

Valencia arrive in strong form, unbeaten in four matches and having claimed eight points from a possible twelve. The squad has made notable strides going forward, having scored in 13 of their last 14 games. Diego López has stood out in particular, finding the net in four successive outings. Nonetheless, their defensive record remains a concern — with 46 goals conceded, only UD Las Palmas (48) and Real Valladolid (65) have fared worse.

Real Madrid are clear favourites, though the recent 120-minute cup match could take its toll. While the hosts are expected to take their chances in front of goal, Valencia, revitalised under their new manager, should also manage to score. As such, backing both teams to find the net looks a strong option.

Betting prediction
Both Teams to Score – Yes
Cf
Odds
4/5
Bet now

Real Madrid vs Valencia Odds

La Liga: previous matches in the tournament

Real Madrid
29.03.25
Real Madrid
Leganés
W
15.03.25
Villarreal
Real Madrid
W
09.03.25
Real Madrid
Rayo Vallecano
W
01.03.25
Real Betis
Real Madrid
L
23.02.25
Real Madrid
Girona
W
15.02.25
Osasuna
Real Madrid
D
08.02.25
Real Madrid
Atlético Madrid
D
01.02.25
Espanyol
Real Madrid
L
25.01.25
Valladolid
Real Madrid
W
19.01.25
Real Madrid
Las Palmas
W
03.01.25
Valencia
Real Madrid
W
22.12.24
Real Madrid
Sevilla
W
14.12.24
Rayo Vallecano
Real Madrid
D
07.12.24
Girona
Real Madrid
W
04.12.24
Athletic Bilbao
Real Madrid
L
01.12.24
Real Madrid
Getafe
W
24.11.24
Leganés
Real Madrid
W
09.11.24
Real Madrid
Osasuna
W
26.10.24
Real Madrid
Barcelona
L
19.10.24
Celta
Real Madrid
W
05.10.24
Real Madrid
Villarreal
W
29.09.24
Atlético Madrid
Real Madrid
D
24.09.24
Real Madrid
Alavés
W
21.09.24
Real Madrid
Espanyol
W
14.09.24
Real Sociedad
Real Madrid
W
01.09.24
Real Madrid
Real Betis
W
29.08.24
Las Palmas
Real Madrid
D
25.08.24
Real Madrid
Valladolid
W
18.08.24
Mallorca
Real Madrid
D
More matches
Valencia
30.03.25
Valencia
Mallorca
W
15.03.25
Girona
Valencia
D
08.03.25
Valencia
Valladolid
W
02.03.25
Osasuna
Valencia
D
22.02.25
Valencia
Atlético Madrid
L
15.02.25
Villarreal
Valencia
D
09.02.25
Valencia
Leganés
W
02.02.25
Valencia
Celta
W
26.01.25
Barcelona
Valencia
L
19.01.25
Valencia
Real Sociedad
W
11.01.25
Sevilla
Valencia
D
03.01.25
Valencia
Real Madrid
L
22.12.24
Valencia
Alavés
D
18.12.24
Espanyol
Valencia
D
13.12.24
Valladolid
Valencia
L
07.12.24
Valencia
Rayo Vallecano
L
29.11.24
Mallorca
Valencia
L
23.11.24
Valencia
Real Betis
W
27.10.24
Getafe
Valencia
D
21.10.24
Valencia
Las Palmas
L
04.10.24
Leganés
Valencia
D
28.09.24
Real Sociedad
Valencia
L
24.09.24
Valencia
Osasuna
D
21.09.24
Valencia
Girona
W
15.09.24
Atlético Madrid
Valencia
L
31.08.24
Valencia
Villarreal
D
28.08.24
Athletic Bilbao
Valencia
L
23.08.24
Celta
Valencia
L
17.08.24
Valencia
Barcelona
L
More matches

H2H: Real Madrid — Valencia

La Liga 2024-2025
03.01.25
Valencia
Real Madrid
La Liga 2023-2024
02.03.24
Valencia
Real Madrid
11.11.23
Real Madrid
Valencia
La Liga 2022-2023
21.05.23
Valencia
Real Madrid
02.02.23
Real Madrid
Valencia
Super Cup Spain 2022-2023
11.01.23
Real Madrid
Valencia
1
:
1
0
:
0
OT
4
:
3
P
La Liga 2021-2022
08.01.22
Real Madrid
Valencia
19.09.21
Valencia
Real Madrid
La Liga 2020-2021
14.02.21
Real Madrid
Valencia
08.11.20
Valencia
Real Madrid
La Liga 2019-2020
18.06.20
Real Madrid
Valencia
Super Cup Spain 2020
08.01.20
Valencia
Real Madrid
La Liga 2019-2020
15.12.19
Valencia
Real Madrid
La Liga 2018-2019
03.04.19
Valencia
Real Madrid
01.12.18
Real Madrid
Valencia
La Liga 2017-2018
27.01.18
Valencia
Real Madrid
27.08.17
Real Madrid
Valencia
La Liga 2016-2017
29.04.17
Real Madrid
Valencia
22.02.17
Valencia
Real Madrid
La Liga 2015-2016
08.05.16
Real Madrid
Valencia
03.01.16
Valencia
Real Madrid
La Liga 2014-2015
09.05.15
Real Madrid
Valencia
04.01.15
Valencia
Real Madrid
La Liga 2013-2014
03.05.14
Real Madrid
Valencia
2
:
2
21.12.13
Valencia
Real Madrid
2
:
3
La Liga 2012-2013
19.01.13
Valencia
Real Madrid
0
:
5
18.08.12
Real Madrid
Valencia
1
:
1
La Liga 2011-2012
07.04.12
Real Madrid
Valencia
0
:
0
18.11.11
Valencia
Real Madrid
2
:
3
La Liga 2010-2011
22.04.11
Valencia
Real Madrid
3
:
6
03.12.10
Real Madrid
Valencia
2
:
0
La Liga 2009-2010
17.04.10
Real Madrid
Valencia
2
:
0
11.12.09
Valencia
Real Madrid
2
:
3
La Liga 2008-2009
08.05.09
Valencia
Real Madrid
3
:
0
19.12.08
Real Madrid
Valencia
1
:
0
La Liga 2007-2008
22.03.08
Real Madrid
Valencia
2
:
3
30.10.07
Valencia
Real Madrid
1
:
5
La Liga 2006-2007
20.04.07
Real Madrid
Valencia
2
:
1
25.11.06
Valencia
Real Madrid
0
:
1
La Liga 2005-2006
10.03.06
Valencia
Real Madrid
0
:
0
22.10.05
Real Madrid
Valencia
1
:
2
La Liga 2004-2005
04.03.05
Valencia
Real Madrid
1
:
1
22.10.04
Real Madrid
Valencia
1
:
0
More matches

Tables

Team Played W D L Goals Points Form
1
Barcelona
30 21 4 5 83:29 67
2
Real Madrid
30 19 6 5 63:31 63
3
Atlético Madrid
30 17 9 4 49:24 60
4
Athletic Bilbao
30 14 12 4 46:24 54
5
Villarreal
29 13 9 7 51:39 48
6
Real Betis
30 13 9 8 41:37 48
7
Celta
30 12 7 11 44:43 43
8
Real Sociedad
30 12 5 13 30:32 41
9
Rayo Vallecano
30 10 10 10 33:35 40
10
Mallorca
30 11 7 12 29:37 40
11
Getafe
30 10 9 11 30:25 39
12
Sevilla
30 9 9 12 34:41 36
13
Osasuna
30 7 14 9 34:43 35
14
Valencia
30 8 10 12 34:47 34
15
Girona
30 9 7 14 37:46 34
16
Espanyol
29 8 8 13 31:40 32
17
Alavés
30 7 9 14 33:44 30
18
Leganés
30 6 10 14 29:47 28
19
Las Palmas
30 6 8 16 34:51 26
20
Valladolid
30 4 4 22 19:69 16
Team Played W D L Goals Points Form
1
Real Madrid
15 12 1 2 37:16 37
2
Barcelona
15 11 1 3 41:11 34
3
Atlético Madrid
15 10 4 1 27:12 34
4
Athletic Bilbao
15 8 6 1 27:9 30
5
Celta
15 9 3 3 25:15 30
6
Real Betis
15 8 5 2 24:16 29
7
Osasuna
15 6 6 3 26:22 24
8
Valencia
15 7 3 5 21:18 24
9
Espanyol
15 6 6 3 19:16 24
10
Real Sociedad
15 7 2 6 17:15 23
11
Mallorca
16 6 5 5 17:18 23
12
Villarreal
14 5 6 3 29:21 21
13
Girona
15 6 3 6 25:22 21
14
Rayo Vallecano
15 5 5 5 20:23 20
15
Getafe
15 4 7 4 13:11 19
16
Sevilla
15 5 4 6 13:18 19
17
Leganés
15 5 3 7 16:23 18
18
Alavés
14 4 4 6 11:15 16
19
Las Palmas
15 3 5 7 18:24 14
20
Valladolid
15 3 4 8 8:25 13
Team Played W D L Goals Points Form
1
Barcelona
15 10 3 2 42:18 33
2
Villarreal
15 8 3 4 22:18 27
3
Real Madrid
15 7 5 3 26:15 26
4
Atlético Madrid
15 7 5 3 22:12 26
5
Athletic Bilbao
15 6 6 3 19:15 24
6
Getafe
15 6 2 7 17:14 20
7
Rayo Vallecano
15 5 5 5 13:12 20
8
Real Betis
15 5 4 6 17:21 19
9
Real Sociedad
15 5 3 7 13:17 18
10
Sevilla
15 4 5 6 21:23 17
11
Mallorca
14 5 2 7 12:19 17
12
Alavés
16 3 5 8 22:29 14
13
Celta
15 3 4 8 19:28 13
14
Girona
15 3 4 8 12:24 13
15
Las Palmas
15 3 3 9 16:27 12
16
Osasuna
15 1 8 6 8:21 11
17
Leganés
15 1 7 7 13:24 10
18
Valencia
15 1 7 7 13:29 10
19
Espanyol
14 2 2 10 12:24 8
20
Valladolid
15 1 0 14 11:44 3

Team lineups

Real Madrid

C. Ancelotti
coach
Player Matches Goals
Line-up
Francisco Javier González Pérez
gk. 0 0
Antonio Rüdiger
df. 26 0
Lucas Vázquez
df. 24 1
Fran García
df. 23 0
Luka Modrić
mf. 28 2
Federico Valverde
mf. 27 5
Aurelien Tchouameni
mf. 24 0
Brahim Díaz
mf. 24 4
Jude Victor William Bellingham
mf. 23 8
Kylian Mbappé
fw. 27 22
Vinisius Junior
fw. 23 10
Substitutes
Andriy Lunin
gk. 5 -7
Sergio Sanchez
gk. 0 0
Asencio
df. 16 0
David Alaba
df. 5 0
Jesús Vallejo
df. 1 0
Arda Güler
mf. 19 1
Eduardo Camavinga
mf. 15 0
Rodrygo Goes
fw. 26 6
Endrick Felipe Moreira de Sousa
fw. 16 1
Valencia

Carlos Corberan
coach
Player Matches Goals
Line-up
Giorgi Mamardashvili
gk. 23 -40
Cristhian Andrey Mosquera Ibargüen
df. 28 1
César Tárrega Requeni
df. 26 2
Jesús Vázquez Alcalde
df. 14 0
Mouctar Diakhaby
df. 6 1
Max Aarons
df. 1 0
Javi Guerra
mf. 28 1
André Almeida
mf. 26 0
Enzo Alan Tomás Barrenechea
mf. 22 1
Diego López Noguerol
fw. 29 7
Umar Sadiq Mesbah
fw. 9 4
Substitutes
Stole Dimitrievski
gk. 4 -6
Jaume Doménech
gk. 0 0
Yarek Gąsiorowski Hernandis
df. 14 0
Iker Córdoba Sánchez
df. 2 0
Rubén Iranzo Lendínez
df. 0 0
José Luis García Vayá
mf. 26 1
Francisco Pérez Martínez
mf. 17 0
Sergi Canós
mf. 16 0
Hugo Guillamón Sanmartín
mf. 11 0
Hugo Duro Perales
fw. 22 7
Rafa Mir
fw. 11 0
Hamza Bellari
fw. 0 0
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